Kriptomenjačnica

Risk Management in Crypto

Systematic approach to risk management — position sizing, diversification, hedging.

Risk management is the difference between long-term success and catastrophic failure — the most important skill in trading.

Basic rules:

1. Risk max 1-2% of portfolio per trade • $10,000 portfolio → max $100-200 per trade • Even 10 consecutive losses → -20% (survivable)

2. Never everything in one asset • Max 20-30% in one altcoin • Max 50-60% in crypto total (vs. fiat/stablecoin)

3. Position sizing formula • Size = (Portfolio × % risk) / (Entry − Stop) • Adjust to stop loss, not the reverse

4. Correlation • Altcoins are highly correlated • "Diversification" within crypto isn't real diversification

5. Hedging • Short BTC perp while holding spot = delta neutral • Put options on BTC for downside protection • Stablecoin allocation = natural hedge

Psychological aspects:

Define max drawdown you accept (-30%, -50%...)
When you hit drawdown limit → pause, revise
Log all trades — without journal there's no learning

Portfolio level risk:

Kelly Criterion — mathematically optimal bet size
Practically: Half-Kelly or Quarter-Kelly (more conservative)
Drawdown limit: max 20% → stop trading, revision

Robert Carver rule:

Never invest in something you don't understand
If you can't explain the trade in one sentence → don't enter

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