Kriptomenjačnica

Behavioral Finance in Crypto

Psychological mistakes investors make — FOMO, anchoring, sunk cost fallacy.

Behavioral finance studies how psychological factors influence investment decisions — crypto due to its volatility and speculative nature is an ideal ground for these mistakes.

Most common cognitive mistakes:

1. FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) • Buy because everyone is buying, price is already high • Solution: plan entry points in advance

2. Loss aversion • Pain of losing 2× stronger than pleasure of equal gain • Hold losers too long, sell winners too early

3. Anchoring bias • "Bitcoin was $69k, $30k is cheap" (means nothing) • Future price doesn't depend on past ATHs

4. Sunk cost fallacy • "I already invested $5k, can't exit now" • Sunk cost is not relevant for future decisions

5. Recency bias • Overweighting recent events • Bull market: "always goes up" — bear market: "always goes down"

6. Confirmation bias • Seeking information confirming existing opinion • "My coin is gold, ignore the FUD"

7. Overconfidence • After luck in bull market: "I'm a genius trader" • Leverage and oversized positions

Solutions:

Investment journal — write reason before each transaction
Pre-commit to strategy
Stop loss defined in advance
Independent feedback (not echo chamber)

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